Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Why You Should Not Play the Lottery

In a fairly recent post on a hupage blog a blogger answered a question posed about the how to win the lottery. After being asked if it was possible to win the lottery he said it was if you don't play! Citing the fact that you have almost zero chance of winning the jackpot the author claimed that you have almost the same odds of winning the lottery as someone who never bought a ticket. This is one blogger who has no idea how to work with mathematics although, as you will see, he thinks he does!

There are many reasons not to expect a win on a lottery game. Now there are many, many reasons for thinking that winning the lottery is so far-fetched of a goal that it is silly to even play. I will show you some of those reasons here. What is not commonly known is that the terrible odds the lottery offers apply only to ordinary tickets.

The odds of winning any lottery jackpot regardless of its type are so stacked against you that you often have a better chance of being dead by the time of the draw than winning! The blog post mentioned earlier also highlighted that a man has a better chance of dating a super-model (1 in 88K) than he has of winning the lottery. The author also stated that there is a better chance of being hit by a falling rock from the sky (odds of being killed by an asteroid are apparently 1 in 20K) than there is of hitting a lottery jackpot.

These stats are very entertaining to read but they do not really give a correct view of the lottery. Even though the blogger went to great lengths to demonstrate that the lottery was a mere game of luck and chance he continued to use mathematics and probability to prove his point - strange that you would use probability and maths to prove chance!

By taking the law of probability and using the mathematics behind it this poster inadvertently proved that the lottery is not a simple game of pure luck and chance but is, in fact, a game based on probabilities! So although he claimed that the lottery was a game of chance he proved it was actually a game of probability!

Well the good thing about probability is that it can be worked with. For example do you believe you could bring down the odds of dating a supermodel from 1 in 88,000 if you got a job working with super models?

It makes sense right! A normal guy can greatly increase his odds of dating a supermodel just by making sure he meets some! By getting a job where he works with supermodels or socialising in places where supermodels socialise or just by going to places where they are he will greatly increase his odds of actually dating one.

The lottery works the same way. Buying an ordinary ticket in a 6/49 lotto (like in the UK) gives you a 1 in 13,983,816 chance of winning the jackpot. However, when you use mathematics and work with the law of probability you can reduce these odds very significantly and give yourself a real chance of winning.

As you can see you can take advantage of some easy to apply methods for increasing your chances of winning on the lottery that involve mathematics and science or of course you could just follow the advice of our friendly blogger and not bother playing at all.

People who play, or comment on others who play, the lottery should get all sides of the story. Just believing that pure luck is the only way to win the lottery is nonsense. The blogger mentioned proved that the lottery is not a game of chance but is under the direct influence of the law of probability and mathematics because he used those things to try and prove his point!

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