Tuesday, September 21, 2010

The Bloggers Way to Winning the Lottery

I recently read an article on a blog where the author answered the question "how do you win the lottery?" with the silly answer "don't play". Because the odds of winning a lottery jackpot prize are so low the author contends that you can only win the lottery by not playing and keeping your money. He obviously doesn't know how to play the game!

There is no question about the fact that winning a lottery jackpot prize is a difficult task to accomplish. I will highlight some reasons why you have almost no chance of winning a prize. However, these apply only to ordinary lottery tickets.

Most people have heard that you have a better chance of being struck by lightning than winning a lottery jackpot. The blogger I mentioned previously also pointed out that, with odds of 1 in 88,000, you have a better chance of dating a supermodel than winning the lottery and that, with odds of 1 in 20,000 you have a better chance of being killed by an asteroid than winning the big prize.

These stats are very entertaining to read but they do not really give a correct view of the lottery. Using probability and mathematics this blogger tried to prove that the lottery is a game of chance. If you can apply the law of probability and mathematical equations then surely it cannot be a mere game of chance.

By taking the law of probability and using the mathematics behind it this poster inadvertently proved that the lottery is not a simple game of pure luck and chance but is, in fact, a game based on probabilities! So although he claimed that the lottery was a game of chance he proved it was actually a game of probability!

Well the good thing about probability is that it can be worked with. In his supermodel example, outlined above, an ordinary guy has 1 in 88K chance of dating a supermodel but do you think these odds would stay the same for that guy if he got a job that put him in close proximity of supermodels every day?

This makes perfect sense doesn't it? A normal guy can greatly increase his odds of dating a supermodel just by making sure he meets some! By getting a job where he works with supermodels or socialising in places where supermodels socialise or just by going to places where they are he will greatly increase his odds of actually dating one.

Likewise, buying a lottery ticket in standard 6 from 49 lotteries gives you only 1 in approximately 14,000,000 chance of winning the jackpot. Using some simple mathematical models, however, that are based on the law of probability it is easy to increase your odds of winning by a lot.

So by incorporating a scientific approach to buying tickets you can work with the law of probability to help you win some prizes. Surely this is a much better option that the silly advice not to play offered by the blogger.

People who play, or comment on others who play, the lottery should get all sides of the story. Just believing that pure luck is the only way to win the lottery is nonsense. The blogger mentioned proved that the lottery is not a game of chance but is under the direct influence of the law of probability and mathematics because he used those things to try and prove his point!

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