Showing posts with label Lottery Odds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lottery Odds. Show all posts

Friday, October 1, 2010

If You Want To Win the Lottery Avoid Reading Blogs!

On a recent personal blog post (on hubpages) a guy said that you can guarantee a win on the lottery by not playing. Because the odds of winning a lottery jackpot prize are so low the author contends that you can only win the lottery by not playing and keeping your money. This is one blogger who has no idea how to work with mathematics although, as you will see, he thinks he does!

There is no question about the fact that winning a lottery jackpot prize is a difficult task to accomplish. Now there are many, many reasons for thinking that winning the lottery is so far-fetched of a goal that it is silly to even play. I will show you some of those reasons here. What is not commonly known is that the terrible odds the lottery offers apply only to ordinary tickets.

The odds of winning any lottery jackpot regardless of its type are so stacked against you that you often have a better chance of being dead by the time of the draw than winning! The blog post mentioned earlier also highlighted that a man has a better chance of dating a super-model (1 in 88K) than he has of winning the lottery. The author also stated that there is a better chance of being hit by a falling rock from the sky (odds of being killed by an asteroid are apparently 1 in 20K) than there is of hitting a lottery jackpot.

Let's put things into perspective here. The statistics offered by our well-meaning blogger may be technically correct they do not tell the whole story. Even though the blogger went to great lengths to demonstrate that the lottery was a mere game of luck and chance he continued to use mathematics and probability to prove his point - strange that you would use probability and maths to prove chance!

He used a probability model to explain that certain improbable events are more likely to occur than winning the lottery. So although he claimed that the lottery was a game of chance he proved it was actually a game of probability!

What the blogger fails to realise is that you can use the law of probability to alter your odds in the lottery. In his supermodel example, outlined above, an ordinary guy has 1 in 88K chance of dating a supermodel but do you think these odds would stay the same for that guy if he got a job that put him in close proximity of supermodels every day?

It makes sense right! A normal guy can greatly increase his odds of dating a supermodel just by making sure he meets some! By getting a job where he works with supermodels or socialising in places where supermodels socialise or just by going to places where they are he will greatly increase his odds of actually dating one.

The same applies to playing the lottery. Only a normal ticket, bought in the normal way, gives you terrible odds. Like 1 in 13,983,816 for the National Lottery in the UK. However, when you use mathematics and work with the law of probability you can reduce these odds very significantly and give yourself a real chance of winning.

So by incorporating a scientific approach to buying tickets you can work with the law of probability to help you win some prizes. Surely this is a much better option that the silly advice not to play offered by the blogger.

I think bloggers should investigate the mathematics behind lotteries before they jump to misjudged conclusions and make false claims that the lottery is merely a game of chance (ignoring the fact that it is a game of probabilities) while at the same time using mathematics and he law of probability to try to prove their point!

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Friday, August 6, 2010

How to Improve Your Lottery Odds

Here are some simple steps you can take to increase your odds of winning the lottery. Using some simple very easy to do things that anyone can do it is possible to change the bad odds that lotteries give and turn things more in your favour.

The odds of winning a standard forty-nine ball lottery, such as the National Lottery in the UK, are approximately 14 million to 1. There is almost no chance of winning. If you want to win a jackpot prize in a 6 from 49 draw with a normal lottery ticket you are dreaming. However, do you realise that by playing all 49 numbers across a number of tickets you are guaranteed to get at least one number correct?

Having at least one number correct may not sound like much. Guaranteeing that just one number is a winner on a lottery ticket doesn't seem to be a very good way of winning the lottery, does it? What is the point of ensuring you have at least 1 correct number? Because with one number correct your odds are reduced from 1 in 13,983,816 to 1 in 1,712,304!

What's more, in a 6 from 49 lottery all you need is 9 tickets to make sure you have those odds and ensure you have at least one number correct! Even on a 59 ball lottery draw (like the New York Lottery) you only have to buy 10 tickets!

That is just a nine pound stake in the UK and a ten dollar stake in New York!

Picking three odd and three even numbers gives you a 1 in three chance of being correct. 50% of winning lottery lines also never have any consecutive numbers.

43% of the time there is never a number in a lottery draw that was in the winning line the previous week - so stay away from the previous weeks winning numbers.

By mixing and matching all the above simple steps when choosing your numbers you can greatly increase the chances of picking winning numbers.